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In Graph 3, the
first-time pass rates are for the years 1995 - 1999. The number of
applications per attorney, per year is the average number of
European patent applications prosecuted by attorneys of the
identified nationality in the period from August 1992 to May 2000.
Unsurprisingly,
pass rates appear to increase where candidates are exposed to more
European work. Graph 3 suggests that it is this factor more than
profession size or language which most fully explains the variation
in and ordering of national pass rates.
Such a theory
also seems to explain the greater variation in pass rates for the
Opposition and Law papers as compared with the Drafting and
Amendment papers shown in Graph 2. It is undoubtedly the case that
Opposition and Law papers are more specifically “European” than the
Drafting and Amendment papers. Whereas Drafting and Amendment papers
exist in the British national exams, there are no direct equivalents
for the Opposition and Law papers. National patent work as opposed
to prosecution of applications before the EPO would therefore be
expected to assist in developing the skills tested by the Drafting
and Amendment papers, and such skills could therefore be expected to
be acquired even if most work experienced by a trainee was national
as opposed to European. In contrast, given that the Opposition and
Law papers test more exclusively “European” skills, experience of
EPO prosecution will be more important in preparing for those
papers.
Decline and
Fall?
Given that the
U.K. continues to enjoy a large share of European patent work, why,
then, have British pass rates been falling?
The following
table details the changes in national first-time pass rates for all
countries fielding more than 75 candidates in total in the period
between 1995 and 2005.
|
Country |
Pass
Rate 1995-2000 |
Pass
Rate 2001-2005
|
Change
in Pass rate |
|
GB |
56.6% |
43.5% |
-13.1% |
|
DE |
42.1% |
33.7% |
- 8.4% |
|
AT |
42.0% |
31.9% |
-10.1% |
|
BE |
40.5% |
35.4% |
- 5.1% |
|
NL |
37.8% |
42.8% |
5.0% |
|
CH |
37.1% |
29.5% |
- 7.6% |
|
FR |
32.8% |
37.3% |
4.5% |
|
IT |
25.3% |
23.4% |
-1.9% |
|
SE |
18.6% |
24.6% |
6.0% |
|
DK |
17.9% |
20.8% |
2.9% |
As can be seen,
pass rates have been falling primarily in countries with higher pass
rates and rising in countries with lower pass rates. Of the
countries having pass rates in excess of 35% between 1995 and 2000,
only the Netherlands has increased its pass rate. Conversely, of the
countries having pass rates less than 35%, pass rates have risen
everywhere except for Italy.
The pattern of
changing pass rates strongly suggests that the EQE has been getting
harder. First-time candidates are most likely to assess how hard
they need to study from the experiences of the candidates taking the
exam before them. If the pass rate in a country is lower, the
message from preceding candidates will be that greater effort is
required in order to pass. If at the same time the difficulty of the
exam is increasing, such an approach will stabilise or increase the
pass rate. However, where national pass rates are higher, candidates
are more likely to be caught out by a more difficult exam which
requires more effort than that put in by their previously successful
peers.
Certainly, back
in the early 1990s when the British first-time pass rate was around
70%, the perceived wisdom was that the effort required to pass the
EQE was considerably less than that required to pass the
U.K.
exams. It would appear that, as pass rates have fallen and more
candidates see their colleagues having to re-sit the EQE, the
perception of the EQE as an “easy” exam has begun to change.
Consequently, increased efforts on the part of candidates have
resulted in the levelling-off and subsequent upward drift of the
U.K. pass
rate in
more recent years.
Conclusion
The results of
this analysis are generally reassuring. The correlation between
experience and EQE pass rates strongly suggests that the EQE is a
practical test of the skills actually required by a European patent
attorney rather than a merely academic examination. The fact that
the British first-time pass rate is improving suggests that whatever
complacency may have existed in the past has begun to dissolve, and
that the profession has been able to adapt to tougher European
exams.
Ultimately,
first-time pass rates in examinations are of limited relevance as
pass rates only regulate the speed at which individuals qualify.
Over 90% of candidates who were previously unsuccessful attempt the
exam again the following year, and more candidates pass at second or
subsequent sittings than on their first attempt.
Since almost all candidates keep taking the exams until they pass
the numbers of attorneys qualifying in each country is determined
primarily by the numbers of candidates entered rather than
the pass rate.
At the
individual level, of course, it is passing the exam that really
counts. Best of luck to everyone sitting in 2006. |